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Impact of obesity on life expectancy in Queensland children shown in new modeling

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A Queensland child born over the next 10 years could lose five years in life expectancy if the state’s current rate of obesity is not reduced, new modeling has found.

The report, commissioned by state government agency Health and Wellbeing Queensland, shows the life expectancy of a child born in the decade from 2023 could decrease by between six months and 4.1 years in the general population.

For First Nations children born in Queensland, the shortened life expectancy could decrease by up to 5.1 years.

Lead researcher Rhema Vaithianathan said the projections were based on a scenario where nothing was done to prevent the current rising obesity rates among children.

“It is quite concerning, we might be facing the first generation of Queenslanders whose life expectancy is shorter than their parents,” she said.

“That kind of life expectancy reverses almost two decades of progress of life expectancy.”

An image of a woman wearing a blue jacket over a red shirt.
Professor Rhema Vaithianathan is concerned by the results.(ABC Radio Brisbane)

She said the trajectory changed according to a range of factors including socio-economic status and geographical location.

About one in four Queensland children and adolescents are overweight or obese, according to the Australian Institute of Health and Welfare.

The report’s authors said there was also early evidence in Australia indicating that COVID-19 and lockdowns could have exacerbated childhood obesity.

Being overweight or obese increases the risk of developing chronic conditions that also increases mortality risk factors such as cardiovascular disease, chronic kidney disease, dementia, diabetes and some cancers, according to the insititute.

With two-thirds of adults and one in four children overweight or living with obesity, excess weight is estimated to cost the state’s health system $756 million per year.

Changing the trajectory

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